TheEconomist/us-potus-model

Code for a dynamic multilevel Bayesian model to predict US presidential elections. Written in R and Stan.

4 mentions on Hacker News by 4 people: 2 stories, 2 comments · first 2020-06-14 · latest 2024-06-16

Mentions per year 4 mentions · busiest year 2020 (3)

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This sounds like a more thorough update to the 2020 model they published here: https://github.com/TheEconomist/us-potus-model Nate Silver was both the best and worst thing that happened to these predictions. The modus operandi of people in…
comment by doctorpangloss · 2024-06-16 · in How The Economist’s presidential forecast works
…this is done, let me know. In fact, here's the actual code for Elliot Morris' forecasting model: https://github.com/TheEconomist/us-potus-model if anyone can figure it out better then me. [1] https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ra…
comment by saeranv · 2020-10-30 · in Put not thy trust in Nate Silver